As I said, the models will change. The GFS is still the same and has no storm. The CMC has dramatically changed!
I think the GFS is wrong because I think a storm will hit. The only question is, what type of precipitation?
This is looking like an all rain event (besides northern Maine). The GFS has the temperatures in the 40’s and upper 30’s for most in the Northeast at the time the storm hits. Even if it snows, it will be very hard to stick because the temperatures have been relatively warm lately and the infamous March sun angle.
The CMC has slowly been trending warmer. The next few updated CMC runs are very important. I expect it go warmer and warmer until this is all rain (excluding northern Maine).
The CMC has the cold air sneaking farther south into Southeast PA. I do not expect this to happen and would lean to the GFS’s temperatures.
- The snow totals have been reduced greatly
- 10+ Northern Maine
- 2-5 generally for anyone seeing snow
- Minimal accumulation
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