The week ahead in the Northeast
Good Sunday afternoon everyone.
It has been a different weather weekend in the northeast depending on location. If you are near or along the coast in NE you had the humidity – clouds and some showers. If you are further west away from the shores you had dry and for the most part sunshine. So what does the work week have in store? , well , honestly once we get passed a cold front that moves through mon-tues depending on location , the week is looking pretty darn nice. On monday a negative tilted ULL situated above the northern plains / great lakes region along the international border will continue to move ENE. As a result a cold front will be entering the extreme western portions of PA and NY. Expect showers and thunderstorms to invade from west to east throughout the day monday. These thunderstorms should remain below severe levels as there will be weak level lapse rates and also a weak mid level flow. However , there will be pockets of low level moisture with dew points in the 60s pertruding from the mid atlantic that could lead to some isolated strong storms.
The cold front will continue to march to the east monday night into tuesday morning clearing NNJ , NYC metro. At the time the front clears the NYC metro an increasing strong mid level flow wrapping around the ULL will swing through the region. This strong mid level flow will overlap a warm / moist sector east of nyc where dew points will be 65-70 and also increase the shear profiles leading to isolated strong/severe storms for LI , CT , RI , MA , NH , VT. Timing is certainly an issue here as there is some uncertainty as to the destabilization of the atmosphere due to the early passage of the cold front.
High pressure begins to take control on wednesday with northern new england at risk for some isolated showers wednesday. High pressure remains in control the rest of the week into saturday with temps near normal for this time of year.