Thursday Night, Friday Rain: South Wins!!

If you remember all the confusion of this summer “snowstorm-type” rainstorm, the computer models were a little jumpy over which track this storm system would take. Would it go further north? Or would it go further south? I was focused on believing the GFS and its southern track, especially because it was fairly consistent. The EURO was consistent but it was the only model most of the time that was bullish on the idea of a Nor’easter and a widespread soaking rain for Friday.

Well, it seems like the GFS is right, and the storm will take a dive towards the south and go out to sea, rather than up the coast. Here are the latest model runs at this time:

GFS 12z run Thursday at 12z Friday

GFS 12z run Thursday at 12z Friday

CMC 12z run Thursday at 12z Friday

CMC 12z run Thursday at 12z Friday

12km 18z NAM run Thursday at 12z Friday

12km 18z NAM run Thursday at 12z Friday

You see the models shifted to the GFS idea of a more southerly track. Showers should stay confined to Southern PA and over to the AC Expressway and points southward. Here is my map breakdown:

Rain storm track Thursday & Friday

Rain storm track Thursday & Friday

Here is also a look at my updated 7-Day Forecast. Enjoy the end of your week and have a great weekend!!

Updated 7-Day Forecast starting Friday, August 7

Updated 7-Day Forecast starting Friday, August 7

 

— Jonathon Rocco (@jonathonrocco)

 

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