Rain to Soak Mid Atlantic & Northeast
Major Hurricane Patricia’s remnants are lashing the Gulf of Mexico coast currently and will continue moving northeast towards our area.
The rain starts early Wednesday morning and will last through the day, potentially into part of Thursday as well.
Here is the GFS:
You see the GFS above has rain getting into the New Jersey & Northeast area by 06z on Wednesday. It has heavier rain in areas towards 18z Wednesday (below):
The GFS continues the rain into Thursday through 00z, then it diminishes by 12z on Thursday with areas in the Mid Atlantic drying out, and New England still seeing showers:
However, it is evident that we do need the rain, especially Connecticut and Long Island. The latest drought monitor as of October 20, 2015 shows that most of Connecticut, Long Island, and parts of New Jersey are in “MODERATE DROUGHT” while other areas in New Jersey are only “ABNORMALLY DRY”:
The GFS shows over 2″ of rain in spots when all is done. The map below is the GFS at 00z Friday:
The next chance of rain could potentially be to start next week. I’ll keep an eye on that over the course of this week and the weekend and inform you on any developments.